Alex takes tomorrow (12/13)

Mrs. D takes tomorrow (12/09)

I pick 12/2 too

Dolberry is taking 12/02 (& will do his victory rain dance soonafter)

"I am the champion ... my friends.  And I'll keep on predicting 'til the end.  I am the champion.  I AM THE CHAMPION.  No time for losers, cause I am the champion ... of the world."

November results

After barely getting one inch of rain in October, this past month is approaching seven inches.  There were three days w/ rain over 0.75" and the 11th was the rainiest day of the year so far w/ almost three inches.  Looks like 12/02 has an outside chance to knock that day off its perch though.

11/11: 2.97"  (Dolberry, Chowda, APD, Mrs D., Austin)
11/01: 0.92"  (Mrs. J)
11/10: 0.88"

W/ one month left, it looks like Dolberry's got the best shot at the title.  APD could pull off the last month upset, though.

Alex and Mtrs. D are taking tomorrow (11/11)

I pick tomorrow (11/11)

Dolberry! is going w/ Wed 11/11

October results

10/24: 0.27" (Dolberry!)
10/12: 0.19" (APD)
10/14: 0.14" (Mrs. D)

It rained on everyone else's day, but not quite enough.  Strange month.  12 days w/ measurable rain, but still barely exceeded one inch of rain (1.10").

Dolberry extends his lead in the standings w/ his second straight three-pointer. Hooray!!

Mrs. J picks tomorrow 11/1

Mrs. J picks tomorrow 10/31

I am picking tomorrow...

(10/28).
It'd better rain more than 0.27" from midnight thru whenever it stops in the morning...

Dolberry taking Saturday (10/24)

Mrs. D takes today (10/14) ... she told me last night ... I forgot to enter it

Alex is taking tomorrow (10-12-09)

September results

9/22: 1.45"  (Dolberry!)
9/07: 0.57"
9/17: 0.37"

9/26 was a close 4th w/ 0.32" (APD, Chowda, Mrs. J, Mrs. D.).  9/10 was a nice dry b-day (Austin).

Dolberry takes the lead in the standings.  Hooray!

Mrs. J and da Chowda pick tomorrow (9/26)

APD and Mrs D. are taking Saturday (9/26)

Dolberry will take tomorrow (9/22)

Come on, easterly wave!

August results

8/28: 0.37
8/02: 0.27 (Mrs. J)
8/22: 0.25 (Mrs. D, APD)

Congrats to the point scorers for the month. Coming down the homestretch ...

Mrs D and APD take tomorrow (8/22)

I pick Tomorrow (8/21)

Dolberry taking tomorrow (8/21)

July results

7/13: 0.98
7/24: 0.34 (Austin?!?)
7/29: 0.28

It rained 0.27 on the 17th (Mrs. D, Dolberry!) which was 4th.
It rained 0.06 on the 30th (Mrs. J) which was tied for 7th.
It rained 0.03 on the 5th (APD) which was tied for 11th.
It rained a trace on the 28th (Chowda) which was tied for 15th.

Rained on 19 of the 31 days on July, yet we only got 51% of the usual July precip. Suspect that the RDU location got a lot less than we've gotten in Apex.

Mrs. J picks Tomorrow

August 2.

Mrs. J picks Tomorrow

July 30.

I pick tomorrow

July 28.

Beaten by Austin for a month ... argh the ignominy!

Mrs D & Dolberry are taking tomorrow (7/17)

It's dry...

June Results

June's Top 3 Precip Days:

1. 6/9: 0.82"
2. 6/4: 0.76"
3. 6/16: 0.42" (Dolberry!)
Note: On 6/16, RDU basically got ripped off as most of the surrounding area recieved ~2-5" of rain. Of course, this doesn't relate to the scoring at all as it is the RDU Precip Contest...
---
Finishing out June, Dolberry gets 1 Point for picking the day w/ the 3rd most precip at RDU.
---
June 2009
Monthly Total: 2.34"
Normal Total: 3.42"
Departure: -1.08"
---
Current Standings:
1. Pneumono...etc. --> 9
2. Dolberry! --> 8
3. Chowdahead --> 5
4t. Mrs. D --> 3
4t. Mrs. J --> 3
6. johnrocks_32 --> 0

APD is taking tomorrow (7/05)

Not one single storm down here at the beach. Oh well ... the sun was nice for everything else.

JSOX as well...

APD & Mrs. D take tomorrow because there are no days left

Dolberry's going to go w/ 6/16

All our softball games get canceled due to rain.
We have a softball game tomorrow.
Therefore it will rain tomorrow

I pick Wednesday (6/17)

May Results

5/05: 0.98
5/26: 0.69
5/28: 0.65 (Dolberry!)

It rained 0.29 on the 17th (APD, Chowda, Mrs. D) which was a tie for 5th. It rained 0.07 on 5/11 which was Mrs. J's day. Not sure if Austin's still in ...

Dolberry is going w/ 5/28 (Thurs)

Mid May Precip Update

2.12" has fallen so far in May at RDU.
Top 3 precip days so far:

1. 5/05: 0.98"
2t. 5/04: 0.29"
2t. 5/17: 0.29" (Mrs. D, APD, Chowdahead)

I pick tomorrow. (5/17)

:)

Mrs. D and APD are taking tomorrow 5/17

JSOX

picks tomorrow. (5/11)

April results

4/6: 0.46
4/20: 0.36 (APD)
4/10: 0.35

APD is the only one to put points on the board this month and extends his lead to 3.

Do I get 2 points?

Also, another month where it rains on the first day. How much did we get yesterday?

I pick 4/30

Definitely hoping for pop-up thunderstorms tomorrow. Dry, dry month in April.

Mid-Month Update

Top 3 days:
4/06: 0.46" at RDU
4/20: 0.36" at RDU (APD)
4/10: 0.35" at RDU

Mr. D picked a day with a Trace at RDU, (4/11), Austin's day (4/16) didn't have any rain, and nobody else has picked yet. APD is on track for 2 points at the moment.
Top 10 Precip. Days at RDU:
1. 1.38" 3/01
2. 0.91" 3/28
3. 0.90" 1/06
4. 0.87" 3/15
5. 0.73" 3/14
6. 0.72" 2/28
7. 0.64" 3/19
8t. 0.62" 1/04
8t. 0.62" 3/27
10. 0.59" 2/18
Total 2009 Precip.: 12.70"

APD is taking tomorrow (4/20)

Mr. D taking tomorrow (4/11)

w/ 2 minutes to spare ...

Results for March

Top 3 days:

3/01: 1.38
3/28: 0.91 (APD and Mr. D)
3/15: 0.87

The 14th came in 4th w/ 0.73" which was the day that Chowda and Jsox took. Mrs. D had a day which rained 0.43 but that was down the list for this rainy month. Believe JR32 had the 22nd last month (correct me if wrong) which was his first non-rainy guess.

March puts APD in a narrow lead.

Alex & Mr. D are going w/ tomorrow (3/28)

Mrs. D takes tomorrow (3/26)

JSOX is going with tomorrow as well...

I am going with tomorrow...

(3/14) I'm going with tomorrow because there really aren't any long-range threats of lots of rain.

I can't believe no one picked today!

Top 3 Precip Days for February

Wow! Exciting month ... a decent downpour in the 667th (of 672) hour of the month puts today over the top.

2/28: Mrs J. and Mr. D. (0.66 as of 8p)
2/18: Kyle, Alex, & Mrs. D (0.59)
2/03: Nobody (0.15)

Scoreboard is updated. Mr. D. plans to take the overall lead in March.

JSOX picks Saturday 2/28

Dolberry is taking Saturday 2/28 ...

... and he's pretty fired up about it.

More precip soon? (maybe alot)???

Next weekend look juicy for Central NC in QPF...

0.59"

0.59" of rain yesterday at RDU.

APD and Mrs D. also going w/ tomorrow

I'm going to hope this Sunday system gets its act together.

I will pick tomorrow...(2/18)

(Wednesday)

How much precip on Wed?

February results (prelim):

Halfway through a dry dry month. So far, it's rained only 3 days. Austin is in on the #3 day and has a chance to earn a point if it doesn't rain 0.04 the rest of the month. No one else has guessed to this point.

2/03: 0.15
2/02: 0.11
2/11: 0.04 (Austin)

We are running 1.30" below normal thus far. Chances for very light rain today & tomorrow. Looks like Wednesday is our next shot at Top 3 type rain.

I am not picking either Monday Tuesday, or Wednesday

Final January results

Top 3 Precip Days:

1/6: 0.90 (Alex and Kyle)
1/4: 0.62
1/28: 0.42 (Mrs. D and Mr. D)

Mrs J had the 4th day and Austin had the 9th day, which are good efforts but no points.

See what happens on Feb. Early storm next Monday/Tuesday?

Mrs D & Mr. D are taking this Wed. (1/28)

January update: 1/24

Only a few days left in the month and Chowda/Pneumno still look good for picking up 3 points. JSox has a chance for 1 point. JohnRocks was shut out this month although it did rain 0.02 on his day. Mrs and Mr. D still haven't taken their day this month. Here's hoping for rain this last week.

Top 3 days:

1/06: 0.90" (Alex & Kyle)
1/04: 0.62"
1/20: 0.19"

The monthly total is 2.00" which is 0.98 below normal.

JSOX Says tomorrow for the pick

Chance of snow tomorrow, 15:1 or 20:1 ratios possible...

quich inch or two with the heavier snow bursts.

anyone else going to pick?

January update

Top 3 days:

1/06: 0.90" (Alex & Kyle)
1/04: 0.62"
1/07: 0.16"

The monthly total is 1.73" which is 0.61 above normal.

After tonight's rain which had the disadvantage of being close to midnight (& thus split over two days), it looks pretty dry for 5-6 days. Beyond that the hints are for continued dry conditions. (Sorry Austin.)

For all who haven't picked yet...

06z GFS meteogram...click to enlarge

I think Kyle and I picked a fairly good day.

Chowda's Official Entry was Jan 6

as noted in the comments from yesterday's post. Just to clarify :)

Official Entry: 1/06

Dolberry: GFS says about an inch tomorrow

Chowda: Tuesday, January 6 (tomorrow)

(Click to zoom in) 00z GFS

Contest Rules

Rules:
1. Your goal is to guess the one day on each month on which the most precipitation falls at RDU. So, you only get one guess per month.

2. You may guess your day at anytime, but you must guess the day before it starts (i.e., before midnight).

3. To submit your guess, just write a blog post.

4. Anyone is welcome to participate.

5. If there's a month w/ fewer than 3 days for precip ... then there may not be a 2 or 1 point score.

Scoring:
3 points if your day does have the most precip at RDU.
2 points if your day had the 2nd most precip at RDU.
1 point if your day had the 3rd most precip at RDU.

Example: Last month (Dec 2008) the 3 days w/ the most precip were:
12/11: 1.40" (3 points for anyone who had guessed this day)
12/21: 0.60" (2 points)
12/25: 0.31" (1 point)

Prize:
We'll hand out the Fujita Trophy at the end of the year.